| Candidate | Win Prob. |
|---|---|
| Biss | 54.3% |
| Fine | 41.0% |
| Abughazaleh | 4.5% |
| Simmons | 0.1% |
| Andrew | 0.0% |
| Amiwala | 0.0% |
| Huynh | 0.0% |
| Candidate | Poll Avg |
|---|---|
| Biss | 21.2% |
| Fine | 20.2% |
| Abughazaleh | 14.2% |
| Simmons | 7.1% |
| Amiwala | 4.0% |
| Andrew | 4.0% |
| Huynh | 2.1% |
| Candidate | Vote Share |
|---|---|
| Biss | 27.4% |
| Fine | 26.1% |
| Abughazaleh | 18.3% |
| Simmons | 8.7% |
| Andrew | 5.5% |
| Amiwala | 5.5% |
| Huynh | 3.5% |
| Candidate | Wins |
|---|---|
| Biss | 543,462 |
| Fine | 410,404 |
| Abughazaleh | 44,842 |
| Simmons | 965 |
| Andrew | 133 |
| Amiwala | 131 |
| Huynh | 29 |
Out of 1,000,000 simulations
| Candidate | Projected Vote Share |
|---|---|
| Biss | 24.3% |
| Abughazaleh | 23.3% |
| Fine | 22.7% |
| Simmons | 12.2% |
| Amiwala | 5.9% |
| Andrew | 5.4% |
| Huynh | 3.3% |
| Candidate | Projected Vote Share |
|---|---|
| Biss | 39.7% |
| Fine | 20.8% |
| Abughazaleh | 16.5% |
| Simmons | 6.0% |
| Amiwala | 5.2% |
| Andrew | 5.1% |
| Huynh | 3.1% |
| Candidate | Projected Vote Share |
|---|---|
| Fine | 31.1% |
| Biss | 27.9% |
| Abughazaleh | 15.9% |
| Simmons | 7.5% |
| Andrew | 5.5% |
| Amiwala | 5.4% |
| Huynh | 3.5% |
| Candidate | Projected Vote Share |
|---|---|
| Fine | 34.6% |
| Biss | 26.2% |
| Abughazaleh | 14.5% |
| Simmons | 6.7% |
| Amiwala | 5.8% |
| Andrew | 5.6% |
| Huynh | 3.5% |
| Candidate | Projected Vote Share |
|---|---|
| Fine | 31.5% |
| Biss | 27.7% |
| Abughazaleh | 15.8% |
| Simmons | 7.5% |
| Andrew | 5.5% |
| Amiwala | 5.4% |
| Huynh | 3.5% |
| Precinct | Fine | Biss | Abughazaleh | Simmons | Amiwala | Andrew | Huynh | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win% | Vote% | Win% | Vote% | Win% | Vote% | Win% | Vote% | Win% | Vote% | Win% | Vote% | Win% | Vote% | |
| Niles Precinct 29 | 49.3 | 31.8 | 49.9 | 31.9 | 0.8 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 |
| Northfield Precinct 20 | 49.1 | 31.8 | 50.1 | 32.0 | 0.8 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3.4 |
| Niles Precinct 36 | 39.6 | 25.1 | 37.3 | 24.8 | 22.1 | 22.0 | 0.4 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 8.3 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 3.3 |
| Maine Precinct 40 | 42.3 | 26.0 | 39.4 | 25.6 | 17.5 | 21.4 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 0.2 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3.4 |
| Niles Precinct 21 | 42.0 | 25.5 | 39.1 | 25.1 | 17.8 | 20.9 | 0.5 | 8.8 | 0.4 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3.4 |
| Niles Precinct 41 | 42.1 | 25.6 | 39.0 | 25.1 | 17.8 | 20.9 | 0.5 | 8.8 | 0.4 | 8.0 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3.4 |
| Wheeling Precinct 16 | 42.1 | 26.0 | 38.9 | 25.5 | 18.2 | 21.4 | 0.4 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3.4 |
| Niles Precinct 48 | 42.3 | 25.6 | 39.0 | 25.1 | 17.7 | 20.9 | 0.5 | 8.9 | 0.4 | 8.0 | 0.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 3.3 |
| Niles Precinct 62 | 42.3 | 25.6 | 38.9 | 25.1 | 17.9 | 20.9 | 0.5 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 5.4 | 0.1 | 3.4 |
| Ward 49 Precinct 14 | 24.0 | 21.8 | 35.1 | 23.8 | 38.5 | 24.3 | 2.0 | 12.7 | 0.2 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 5.4 | 0.1 | 3.3 |
Green = Most likely winner | Orange = Second most likely